Monday, February 16, 2015

Trending of Medical Device Industry - Part2

In the blog, I will try to answer the question, what's the impact to FP&A from the trending.
A brief introduction on FP&A role.
  1. Financial planning on revenue and cost associated with it
  2. Financial analysis for projects or functions
  3. Translate business issue and analytic problem and analytic solutions to business actions
Here is the imaginary impact,
  • Financial planning on revenue
    • new products
      • more related to aging people
      • more related to patients rather than physicians
    • new customers
      • from emerging market
    • new business model
      • product only to service/subscription
  • Financial planning on associated cost
    • Cost to communicate with consumers. (From B2B to B2C)
    • Cost of supply chain integration (with emerging market)
    • Cost structure dramatic change when business model changes to service/subscription
  • Financial analysis on revenue
    • revenue components change when demographic changes (shift to aging people, and shift to emerging country)
    • decision maker changes on healthcare merger (from physician to procurement)
    • decision maker changes on consumerization (more ads for mass consumer)
  • Financial analysis on procurement
    • more from emerging market/supplier
  • Financial analysis on IT/business intelligence
    • big data on customers

Trending of Medical Device Industry

To prepare for potential job opportunities, I start to look into these industries.
Opportunity one - Medical device

Some Google search and I found that most of these trending are not far from when I searched it 4 years ago. This link might summarize what I expected most appropriate

  1. Aging global population
    1. Buyers - more buyers 
    2. Substitute - Biopharm 
  2. Growth of emerging market
    1. Buyers - more buyers and well educated buyers
    2. Suppliers - more suppliers and well educated suppliers
    3. Competition - more players
  3. Increase regulation
    1. Hurdles to product approval
    2. Sudden change of environment like medical device tax
  4. Healthcare consolidation
    1. Buyers - powerful buyers, and shifted from physician to procurement
  5. Consumerization
    1. Expand the landscape
    2. New buyers
    3. New Suppliers
    4. New Competitors
One key to understand the industry of medical device is, it's very diversified industry in terms of product. It means the situation could vary segment by segment



Saturday, February 14, 2015

Drone Technology

One of the most attractive (or most likely to be approved by regulation) application of drone, is photographing.
The attractiveness lies in,

  1. Unique perspective of viewpoint. No or very little alternative.
  2. Technical feasible. The only thing need to carry is camera or lens; requirement for speed is low; requirement long time in air is flexible.
  3. public safety is most likely to be met
However the major concern is privacy of citizens and secrecy of national service.
Then two techniques are needed to clear the concern or protect the privacy and secrecy.
  1. Drone detection
    • Through sound
    • Through vision
    • Through infrared radiation
  2. Drone communication blocking
    • Jamming communication
    • Disable lens


TED watching: Mathematics of love

Today is valentine's day. And when i walked on treadmill, I watched a Ted video called "Mathematics of love". Very interesting talk.
It provides 3 tips to improve possibility to find love.

  • Tip 1: How to stand out in online dating
    • Recommendation: Make oneself liked by some, and loathed by some other
  • Tip 2: How to find the perfect partner
    • Recommendation: Reject the first 37%, and select the first one marginal better than best of first 37%
  • Tip 3: How to avoid divorce
    • Equation of response of husband and wife: Rt=Ralone+Rt-1+It-1
Thought about the video
  • The technique in tip 1 and tip 2 can be used on job hunting and hiring
  • The technique in tip 3 can be used on country competition
  • Simulation of how to get the conclusion of tip 2




Sunday, February 8, 2015

Is job market an efficient market?

It's a question rising from lots of time spent on job hunting.
When I haven't found the job for certain time period, the natural question is why.
  1. One side is on my side, all prep right? 
    • Resume, linkedin, working permit, find the right opportunity, find the right channel to apply, am I capable
  2. The other side is on job side
    • Enough job outside, right timing, is the job market efficient
Also the question comes from upcoming Superbowl news.
The best forecast of who will win comes from gambling market because gambling market is an efficient market.
In the meanwhile, NFL is an efficient market. We observe that through prosper trending of the market.
Then for job seeker like me has to wonder why job market isn't like these two markets and what's right in these markets

Here are basic elements for job market before we can answer that question.
A market needs buyers, sellers, goods and information
  • Buyers: Potential Employer
  • Sellers: Potential Employee
  • Goods: Service/Commitment provided by employees with their skill to meet employers requirement
  • Information:  Info about skills, requirement, sellers and buyers
How to tell a job market is efficient?
  • Job seekers can find idea job in short time with fair pay
  • Talent seekers can find idea candidate in short time with fair pay
Observation on current job market.
  • People in labor force/market are shrinking compared with a few years ago.
  • Employers keep on complaining about hard to find right candidates
  • Productivity of the whole country increases very slowly compared with before 1970s
Then the next question is where is the issue. I can try to answer the question through each element.

Not enough buyers
  • Corporate does not generate enough vacancy 
    • because global economy is not strong enough, 
    • because new technology or process re-engineering has replaced some vacancy, 
    • because existing employees work harder and become more productive
  • Shrinking industry with more and more players move out
  • Location constraint
    • for small town, only so many employers
  • Time constraint
    • Corporate has concern on year end budget.
    • Corporate has concern on upcoming big risk
  • Information of buyers are not published/shared
    • Small or medium business have limit budget for talent acquisition
    • Private owned without much public info released.
    • Even for public trade company, working environment, culture even organization structure is little know.
Not enough sellers
  • Booming industry with few employees well trained in this fields
  • Location constraint
    • for small town, not many willing to move
  • information of sellers are not published/shared
    • Currently, resume, education, and working experience are only info presented if no reference
    • Cost of interview (phone or on-site) is high
    • Reputation in the circle is limited to top candidates
No enough info about the goods
  • Information of job requirement is not well defined.
    • Some misalignment between daily work and words in job description
    • with technology advance, some jobs have already evolved, but not the mindset of managers, and not the job description
  • Information of candidates is not clear presented
    • before phone interview, the only info are resume and cover letter. For some candidates, they have LinkedIn profiles. For referred candidates, they have referral from insiders.
    • Existing info focuses on tracked records. Progression of title, experience and hard skills listed. But there is a gap between tracked records and capability, a gap between the candidates have done and what the candidates can do.
The next question is how to address the issue.
  • Continuous training to address quick change of industry
    • education system adapt itself to address industry need
    • the corporation is the best resource to provide training because it understands best what it needs
  • Match of employer and employee on location
    • encourage relocation of employees
    • encourage immigration
    • encourage corporation to open offices where it finds labor supply
    • allow virtual working environment and build procedure to ensure productivity 
  • Build market for sharing of labor force
    • auction market that easily link buyers and sellers
  • More apps on profiling of candidates
    • more data than education, experience and skills
      • recommendation
      • progression of career development.
      • project sample 
    • integration with other data
    • data mining on data
  • More info released on organization and role definition from corporation's perspective
    • standardize the role and make it like modular
    • provide clear definition of the role
Maybe i can expand the idea of building market for sharing of labor force

Interview preparation from recruiter’s perspective

To make the process of interview fun, I put on some thoughts about how HR try to achieve through an interview, disassemble the components of goal, construct questions to achieve that.

The thoughts cover the following contents,

  • goal of phone interview
  • components of checking candidate's quality
  • job requirement and candidate's knowledge & skills to fill it
  • expected key attributes of candidates and their contribution to job requirement
  • HR constructs an interview
  • HR constructs questions
Interview preparation from recruiter’s perspective

There are a few left,

  • key competency metrics for the job
  • typical behavior questions to address the key competency